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6% rise in London FTBs

by Kevin Rose
26 November 2014
Clapham
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Clapham

The London market grew in the third quarter of 2014 in both house purchase and remortgage activity compared to the previous quarter, the Council of Mortgage Lenders has reported (CML).

There were more loans and a higher amount borrowed in Greater London in this quarter than in any quarter since 2007. House purchase lending to home-buyers increased quarter-on-quarter in London totalling 23,900 loans, up 12% compared to the second quarter and the value of these loans totalled £7.1 billion, a rise of 15% on the second quarter. Compared to the third quarter of 2013, the number of loans increased 3% and value of these loans increased by 13%. This is the highest quarterly volume in London since the fourth quarter 2007, and the highest amount borrowed since the third quarter of 2007.

First-time buyers took out more loans and borrowed more in total than in any quarter since 2007 totalling 13,300 loans and £3.3bn. The affordability levels slightly improved with first-time buyers typically borrowed 3.86 times their gross income, less than the 3.90 in the previous quarter but above the UK average of 3.41.

The typical loan size for first-time buyers was £221,997 in the third quarter, up from £212,500 in the previous quarter. The typical gross income of a first-time buyer household was £58,000 compared to £55,255 in the second quarter.

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First-time buyers in London have tended to put down larger deposits than in the UK – typically putting down a deposit worth 24% of the property value compared to the UK average of 17%. In the third quarter, first-time buyers paid 21% of gross monthly income towards capital and interest payments, a minor change from the second quarter when it was 21.1%.

Due to higher house prices within London compared to the UK overall, there was a continued shift in the mix of properties bought by first-time buyers in London towards more expensive properties. In the third quarter, 66% of first-time buyers bought properties priced at more than £250k, up from 63% in the second quarter and 54% in the same period last year. This was significantly higher than the UK overall level of 20%.

In the third quarter of 2014, lending to home movers saw larger growth quarter-on-quarter compared to first-time buyer lending, but a slight decline in lending volumes when looking at year-on-year comparisons. Home movers did however borrow more this quarter than any other quarter since 2007 totalling £3.7bn.

Home mover affordability changed fractionally, with home movers typically borrowing 3.69 times their gross income compared to 3.66 in the second quarter and the 3.05 in the UK overall. The typical loan size for home movers was £290,000 in third quarter, up from £281,000 in the previous quarter. The typical gross household income of a home mover was £83,596 in third quarter compared to £82,614 in second quarter.

Home movers in Greater London spent 20.8% of their gross income to cover monthly capital and interest payments, slightly changed from 20.6% in Q2 and less than the 18.8% UK average.

The number of loans advanced for remortgage in Greater London increased quarter-on-quarter but declined slightly year-on-year. Home-owner remortgage lending in the third quarter totalled 11,400 loans advanced in the period, which was an increase of 4% on the second quarter, but down 3% on the third quarter 2013. These loans totalled £3bn in value, an increase of 3% quarter-on-quarter and 4% compared to Q3 2013.

Paul Smee, CML director general, said: “London lending is currently driven by both home-mover and first-time buyer growth so borrowers can still find homes in London at their affordability level. Despite the growth of lending to its highest level for seven years, these figures have remained pretty consistent for the past twelve months which suggests a steady market.”

Richard Sexton, director of e.surv chartered surveyors, added: “A first-home in London comes with a hefty price tag, but that doesn’t seem to be putting off buyers in the capital – the number of first-time buyers increased steadily between the second and third quarters of this year. Global economic uncertainty may be sapping energy from the top of the market, but first-time buyer properties are still in high demand and short supply. Two-thirds of buyers spent more than a quarter of a million pounds on their first home in London.

“The UK mortgage market has been fine-tuned over the last year – with the new regulation arguably unsettling demand and some first-time buyers may have been put off as a result

“To carry the existing momentum forward, we need much more new housing, and quickly, or we may face creating a capital where only cash-rich buyers can get onto the housing ladder. While wages remain sluggish and interest rates low, saving for a deposit will remain the biggest obstacle blocking the path to homeownership.”

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