Richard Donnell, insight director at Hometrack, has expressed his opinion on how Brexit will impact the UK housing market.
He said: “All indications are that the UK has taken the significant decision to leave the European Union and, as a result, the near term prospects for the UK housing market now look very uncertain. The immediate impact is likely to be a fall in housing turnover and a rapid deceleration in house price growth as buyers adopt a wait and see the short term impact on financial markets and the economy at large.
“The decision to leave the EU will be most keenly felt in the London housing market which is fully valued and already facing headwinds. History shows that external shocks can reduce sales volumes by as much as 20% with sales volumes already down over the last year. House price growth is already weak and running in low single digits in central London areas and modest price falls now appear likely in higher value markets as prices adjust in the face of lower sales activity. Even a sharp fall in the Sterling is unlikely to attract overseas buyers in the near term.
“Across London, where house price growth is running at 13%, we expect the rate of growth to slow rapidly on greater uncertainty and market activity in the capital is set to remain disrupted until consumers and the financial markets can see a clear strategy to manage the process to a position where the outlook for the economy, jobs and mortgage rates becomes clearer.”
