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CML: lending in ‘neutral gear’

by Kevin Rose
20 April 2017
The Midlands set house price pace
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The Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) has estimated that gross mortgage lending reached £21.4 billion in March.

This is 19% higher than February’s lending total of £17.9 billion, and 19% lower than the £26.3 billion lent in March last year.

The trade body said the sharp fall in year-on-year lending was expected, as March last year saw significant rises in activity as borrowers rushed to beat the second property stamp duty deadline that came into effect from the beginning of April.

Gross mortgage lending for the first quarter of 2017 was therefore an estimated £59.1 billion. This is a 4% decrease on the fourth quarter of last year and a 6% decrease on the £63.0 billion lent in the first quarter of 2016.

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CML senior economist Mohammad Jamei said: “Mortgage lending appears to be in neutral gear. Our gross estimate for March is £21.4 billion and this is broadly in line with average monthly lending over the past year. Within this aggregate level, there has been a shift towards first-time buyer and remortgage customers, away from home movers and buy-to-let landlords.

“We expect this profile to continue over the short-term, as low mortgage rates encourage existing borrowers to remortgage and government schemes help first-time buyers. We do not expect any marked effect from the General Election.”

Jeremy Duncombe, director, Legal & General Mortgage Club, added: “A dip in annual gross mortgage lending reflects a truth that has been well-worn in housing commentary over the last few months: the market is being hamstrung by a severe shortage of affordable homes. Until we address this issue head on,  it will continue to exclude many hopeful first time buyers and home movers.

“While our country has experienced numerous political changes recently, with potentially more yet to come, it is important that the government remains focussed on delivering the promises that were pledged in the Housing White Paper. We need to reconsider our approach to Stamp Duty and Green Belt land, which are both archaic and desperately need re-evaluating. In doing so, these changes will help the Government achieve its ambitious aim of building one million affordable homes by 2020.”

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