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Cooling of house price inflation continues

by Kevin Rose
7 December 2016
Remortgagors driven by rate rise expectations
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Halifax has reported that house prices in the three months to November were 0.8% higher than in the previous quarter.

This increase followed little movement in prices on this quarterly measure in both September and October. The annual rate of growth also increased, rising for the first time for eight months, from 5.2% in October to 6.0%.

Halifax said the average price of a home is now £218,002.

Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist, said: “Despite November’s pick-up, the annual rate has been on a steady downward trend in recent months since reaching a peak of 10.0% in March. Heightened affordability pressures, resulting from a sustained period of house price growth in excess of earnings rises, appear to have dampened housing demand, contributing to the slowdown in house price inflation.

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“Very low mortgage rates and an ongoing, and acute, shortage of properties available for sale should help support price levels although annual house price growth may slow over the coming months.”

Jeremy Duncombe, Director, Legal & General Mortgage Club, added: “November’s figures show a slight increase in monthly house price growth, but nothing like the thundering rate that we got accustomed to over the first half of the year. Despite the negative perceptions that often accompany such slowdowns, this cooling of house price inflation should be viewed positively. The fact remains that there is still a huge disparity between wage growth and property price inflation.

“One thing, however, hasn’t changed. Our levels of housing stock are still desperately inadequate. This chronic shortage of supply can not continue any longer. With the promise of a Housing White Paper in the New Year what we need more than ever is real, ‘on the ground’, action. For too long, the housing crisis has been a point on the political agenda. We need to see the Government and the industry actually tackle this issue by working together to build the hundreds of thousands of affordable new homes that this nation desperately desires.”

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