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House prices return to monthly growth

by Kevin Rose
18 December 2017
Questioning the government’s affordable home strategy
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Average house prices saw a return to growth in November after several months of slowdown, according to Your Move.

The average value of a home in England and Wales in the month increased by £818, up 0.3%. At £300,859 in November, the average price also remains above the £300,000 mark, which it crossed last December.

On an annual basis, growth continues to weaken. At 0.9% it is at its lowest since April 2012, but the return to monthly growth may signal the culmination of a turnaround that can be seen since September, when monthly price falls started to slow. London and the South East remain a pull on the market, though. Without them, annual price increases are 3.3%, up from 3.2% in October.

Transactions in November 2017 in England & Wales are estimated to be 77,500, marginally up on the same month last year.

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Your Move said the return of monthly growth has come just in time to save the market from recording an annual decline in prices. Nevertheless, the rate of growth in November at 0.9% continues the consistent downward trend begun in June. Only a year ago, annual price growth was 6.3%.

Despite the turnaround last month, the monthly falls since March also mean average prices remain more than £5,000 lower than their peak earlier this year of £306,063.

However, monthly changes finally seem to be on an upward trend. Second, the relative underperformance of London, which has done much to weaken the national figures, appears to be easing. In addition, buyers in the coming months will benefit from the key budget announcements of an exemption from stamp duty for first time buyers on homes up £300,000 and more money for the Help to Buy scheme.

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