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Subdued expectations for housing market

by admin
10 January 2012
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Chartered surveyors have reported that sales activity remained relatively firm during December.

Meanwhile, an increasing amount of new stock came onto the housing market.

According to the latest RICS UK Housing Market survey, the average number of completed sales per surveyor in the three months to December was 15.2. While slightly down on November’s figure, this remains close to its best level since autumn 2010.

However, sales expectations for the coming three months dipped to a net balance of zero% (from +4%). Surveyors report that unrealistic price expectations on the part of some vendors may be hindering transaction levels.

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New instructions edged up for the third consecutive month during December. 12% more respondents reported rises rather than falls in new homes coming onto the market, which RICS says suggests that sellers may gradually be returning in time for the new year. Significantly, the capital saw the greatest increase in supply with surveyors reporting a net balance of +38% – the highest figure since January 2005.

Prices across much of the country continued to fall during December, albeit at the slowest rate since June 2010, with 16% more surveyors reporting price falls rather than rises (from -17%). Regionally, London was the only area to see price increases (net balance +46) while the West Midlands and Yorkshire and Humberside reported the biggest drops with net balance readings of -47 and -43 respectively.

Demand remained fairly steady with 2% more respondents reporting new buyer enquiries increasing rather than decreasing. Whilst marginally down on November’s figure of +7%, it seems that interest from potential buyers across the UK is remaining relatively steady. However, respondents continue to report that a lack of mortgage finance is hindering many, with the cash-rich best placed to take advantage of the current market.

Looking ahead, along with surveyors’ flat predictions for transaction levels, price expectations remain low with a net balance of -21% of respondents expecting prices to continue falling over the coming three months.

Ian Perry, RICS housing spokesperson, said: “While it’s encouraging that sales activity held up relatively well towards the end of the year

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